Wednesday, May 5, 2021
Divorce, still a social stigma!
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What’s the significance of the Kyrgyz-Tajik clashes?
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Wednesday, March 31, 2021
Why the China-Iran Strategic Partnership Deal benefits Pakistan
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The menace of child labour in Sindh
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Why Haseena Moin’s women will live forever
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How to give female athletes in Pakistan a level playing field
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Power dynamics between men and women
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The story behind why Gilgit-Baltistan allows trophy hunting
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Saturday, November 28, 2020
America’s increased control over the Indian Ocean will benefit India
US Navy Secretary Kenneth Braithwaite announced last week that his country plans to establish a new numbered fleet. He revealed that,
“We want to put that numbered fleet in the crossroads between the Indian and the Pacific Oceans, and we’re really going to have an Indo-Pacom footprint. We have to look to our other allies and partners like Singapore, like India, and actually put a numbered fleet where it would be extremely relevant if, God forbid, we were to ever get in any kind of a dust-up. More importantly, it can provide a much more formidable deterrence. So we’re going to create the First Fleet.”
This development shouldn’t be surprising for anyone who’s even casually observed the US’ moves in the Indian Ocean over the past four years. The earlier rebranding a few years back of the Pacific Command to the Indo-Pacific Command confirmed that the Pentagon would be placing extra attention on what it regards as India’s “natural” sphere of influence in its epnoymous body of water. The purpose in doing so is obvious enough, and it’s that this ocean is indispensable to the Chinese economy since so much of its trade traverses through it. Establishing control over the Indian Ocean would thus enable the US to more effectively “contain” China.
It’s only natural then that the US would eventually designate a new fleet exclusively focused on this task. The question on everyone’s mind is where it’ll be based, but that’s yet to be decided according to Braithwaite though he interestingly suggested that India might host it. That also shouldn’t be surprising either since the recent signing of the three so-called “foundational pacts” between their militaries over the past few years makes this legally, logistically, and technically feasible, especially with respect to their 2016 “Logistics Exchange Memorandum Of Agreement” (LEMOA).
It’s too early to say whether this will definitely come to pass or not, but the answer itself is arguably moot since the First Fleet would have de-facto basing rights there regardless through LEMOA or an expanded version thereof. For the fleet’s foundational purpose, it would make more sense to base it in Singapore, but doing so in India’s Andaman and Nicobar Islands for example might be a suitable backup plan in the event that the city-state balks at becoming the US’ vanguard state for “containing” China in this larger region. However everything ultimately ends up, it’s certain that India will obviously play a huge role in supporting the First Fleet.
The reason for this prediction is that it serves both American and Indian interests for this to happen. India is seeking to expand its naval footprint across the Indian Ocean, but it’s seriously struggling to do so on its own. New Delhi needs a party with the experience to help it proverbially spread its wings, ergo the importance of Washington, which wields the world’s most powerful navy by far. It'll still take a lot of time for India to actualise its vision of becoming a naval power in its eponymous ocean, but it’ll be comparatively easier for it to do so under the US’ tutelage.
From the American perspective, Trump’s vision of “burden-sharing” will likely outlive his presidency even if he loses his ongoing legal challenges to this month’s election results. The Pentagon has already made the appropriate bureaucratic changes to pursue this strategy across the coming years, and it therefore won’t be easily changed even if Biden decided to do so, which is unlikely in any case. There’s also bipartisan support for the US’ de-facto military alliance with India, so whether a Democrat or Republican is in office, one can be assured that America will continuing supporting one of its most important proxy states in the world.
Overall, the establishment of the First Fleet might seem like little more than a bureaucratic change, but in reality it’ll optimise the US’ naval operations in the region. This development would also facilitate further interoperability between the American and Indian navies, which will unleash their joint capabilities in pursue of their shared goal to “contain” China. Faced with this ever more prominent challenge, China might in turn be compelled to reciprocally strengthen its own naval relations with relevant regional partners such as Pakistan, Myanmar, and the East African coastal states most closely connected to its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
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How Khadim Rizvi exposed and exploited a nation
The controversial firebrand chief of the Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan (TLP), Khadim Hussain Rizvi, died on November 19, 2020. Rizvi rose to prominence out of ‘nowhere’ in a short period of time, and in the process left a profound mark on Pakistani society, particularly with respect to religious extremism and militancy. While religious extremism is nothing new in Pakistan, what made Rizvi unique was the fact that he inspired a very different kind of extremism within a group which, at least in the popular imagination, is not militant. As rightly pointed out by Nadeem Farooq Paracha, our imagination about Sufism is shaped by pop culture and a generally accepted narrative, according to which followers of Sufism are essentially mild people who sing qawaalis, engage in dhamals, and preach tolerance; whereas in reality Sufism is not monolithic and is a contested domain, and some strains can espouse violence. TLP belongs to the more violent strain of Sufism.
Unlike religious outfits like the Taliban, the TLP is less violent but, in some ways, more dangerous. While it is true that the TLP has never indulged in extreme acts like suicide attacks and bombings, their brand of violence has the potential of becoming far more pervasive and far-reaching as it is something which an ordinary citizen can relate to, appreciate and even espouse. Just recall what happened when Aasia Bibi was acquitted of the blasphemy charges levied against her. For several days, tens of thousands of hardliners indulged in violent protests, bringing large swathes of Pakistan to a standstill. Eventually the government had to strike a deal with them in order to get some respite. Even just before Rizvi’s demise, the TLP again forced the government to strike a deal on its own terms. Compared to the Taliban, whose extremism is not an intrinsic part of the character of our society, Barelvi extremism as practiced by the TLP is increasingly becoming rooted in our cultural ethos and collective mindset. To quote a friend of mine, who also happens to be a writer,
“No such thing as a ‘Taliban mind-set’ exists in mainland Pakistan. It has never existed. Never will. It simply does not go well with the local cultural ethos. The term is a misguided liberal belief. However, there does exist a thing known as ‘Aashiq-e-Rasool’: politicise it a little, provoke it to even a small degree and you will have a burning country on your hands.”
Looking at the pictures and video clips of Rizvi’s funeral at the Minar-e-Pakistan, I can safely say that it was one of the biggest funerals I have seen in my lifetime, rivalling that of Mumtaz Qadri, who ironically was the foremost reason behind Rizvi’s meteoric rise.
It is astounding that literally tens of thousands thronged to the funeral of a person who openly incited violence and hatred against the minorities, weaponised the issue of the finality of Prophet-hood to an extremely violent and dangerous extent, regularly pressurised the state to strike deals on his terms, and used profanities in his speeches. But then again, should we really be surprised? He was popular exactly for the aforementioned reasons, and he connected with a substantial segment of our society on a visceral level.
However, as a political opportunist, Rizvi was simply saying what many wanted to hear. Rizvi did not create the hate, he merely exploited it and, in the process, made it even more virulent, stripped off the political niceties. His ‘contribution’ was to merely articulate it in a cruder and blunter manner, in line with the baser level of sentiments already prevailing in Pakistani society. The rot did not start with him, it was already there. Rizvi was just a logical progression of what had already been happening in this country.
The reality is that ours is an extremist society and almost all the political stakeholders have contributed towards this extremism and exploited it whenever the opportunity arose. One of the weakest arguments I have heard against this sentiment is that Pakistanis do not vote for religious parties and are therefore ‘moderate’. This is a completely baseless claim. Religious parties do not get a major chunk of the votes mainly because other parties also use the religion card while offering other incentives too, thereby leaving religious parties with not much to sell. The so-called ‘moderate’ mainstream parties, namely the PPP, PTI and PML-N, as well as Pakistan’s establishment, have, to varying degrees, weaponised religion whenever it has suited them. In fact, during the electoral campaign in 2018, it seemed at times that there was very little difference between the rhetoric and sloganeering of the TLP and the other two mainstream right-wing parties, PML-N and PTI.
Not only is ours an extremist society, it is also a thoroughly hypocritical one, which cries about Islamophobia in the West while mistreating religious minorities and women in Pakistan. In the global gender gap ranking we are third last, and in the minority rights index we are ninth from the bottom, and yet we have the audacity to cry about Islamophobia in the West. Our prime minister constantly tweets about Islamophobia, and yet he does not have a single word to say when it comes to the way our own minorities are treated.
Rizvi, before his death, was agitating for the expulsion of the French ambassador from Pakistan and for a complete boycott of French products, a demand which an overwhelming number of Pakistanis are also making in light of the French cartoons controversy. However, if the rationale behind boycotting France is religious discrimination and bigotry, then perhaps Pakistan should start by boycotting itself first.
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